Markets

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Trade on the outcome of real-world events.

13 markets +13 today $487,044 24h vol

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Economy

Will the Fed cut its policy rate below 3% in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 3.1K OXC OXC
Economy

Will the Japanese yen weaken past 170 per dollar in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.2K OXC OXC
Economy

Will a major economy slip into deflation in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.9K OXC OXC
Economy

Will Brent crude top $100 a barrel in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.7K OXC OXC
Economy

Will US unemployment top 5% in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.4K OXC OXC
Economy

Will the US dollar index (DXY) close above 110 in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.6K OXC OXC
Economy

Will UK inflation return below the BoE 2% target in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.2K OXC OXC
Economy

Will US CPI inflation fall below 2.5% in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 4.1K OXC OXC
Economy

Will the US enter a recession in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 5.2K OXC OXC
Economy

Will China's 2026 GDP growth exceed 5%?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.9K OXC OXC
Economy

BoJ hikes again before 2027?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.6K OXC OXC
Economy

Brazil cuts the Selic before October?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 956.56 OXC OXC
Economy

India FY27 GDP growth above 7%?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.2K OXC OXC